Why does this site exist?
Because a single average return hides the risk that matters most. Many retirement calculators grow your savings at one steady rate and hand back one number. Real markets do not work that way: the returns in your first decade of retirement largely decide how much you can safely spend[1]. And the classic 4% rule was built for 30-year retirements, while early retirees may need their money to last 50 or 60 years, where research points to 3.25%-3.5% as the safer range[2].
We wanted calculators that answer the question people actually have, โwill this work?โ, honestly. That means showing how often a plan would have failed, not only when it succeeds on paper.
How are these calculators different?
- Risk testing on every calculator. Alongside the straight-line projection, each plan runs through a 2,000-run Monte Carlo simulation and a replay of every historical retirement in Damodaran's 1928-2025 data[3]. You see a success rate, the range of outcomes and the worst start years.
- Social Security and pension handling. Income that starts later, like Social Security at 67[4], lowers what your portfolio needs, but only from that age. Until then the portfolio pays your full spending. Every year's net need is valued at the rate implied by your withdrawal rate over your retirement, so with no other income you get exactly the 25x rule at 4%.
- Real dollars throughout. We convert your return with the Fisher equation, after fees and inflation, rather than simply subtracting. Every number is in today's money.
- Private. There is no account, no email capture and no ads. Your inputs are computed in your browser and are never sent to us or to our analytics. See the privacy policy for the details.
- Open about the math. Every formula, timing rule and limitation is documented on the methodology page.
Which calculators can I use?
Each calculator answers a different question, from your FIRE number to how long your savings will last.
- FIRE CalculatorWhen can you retire? Your FIRE number, FI age and odds of success, tested against 98 years of market history.
- Coast FIRE CalculatorFind the balance where you can stop saving and let compounding carry you to retirement.
- Barista FIRE CalculatorSee how much part-time income shrinks the portfolio you need to leave full-time work.
- FIRE Number CalculatorHow much you need to retire, adjusted for Social Security, pensions and your withdrawal rate.
- Lean FIRE CalculatorBuild a lean retirement budget line by line and see how fast a frugal plan gets you free.
- Fat FIRE CalculatorPlan a high-spending retirement with taxes, lower withdrawal rates and Chubby FIRE tiers.
- Early Retirement CalculatorPick the age you want to retire and get the savings you need, plus how to bridge to 59ยฝ.
- How Much Do I Need to Retire?A nest-egg target built from your spending, retirement length and guaranteed income.
- How Long Will My Savings Last?See how many years your retirement savings last, and the odds across every market since 1928.
- 401(k) CalculatorProject your 401(k) balance with your employer match, 2026 contribution limits and catch-up contributions.
- Roth vs Traditional 401(k) CalculatorCompare Roth and traditional 401(k) contributions after tax, using the 2026 federal tax brackets.
- Retirement CalculatorA free retirement savings calculator: will your savings, Social Security and pension cover retirement?
- 4% Rule CalculatorHow much you can spend from your savings with the 4% rule, or how much you need, and how often it held up in history.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate CalculatorFind a withdrawal rate that matches your retirement length, stock mix and tolerance for risk, tested on every market since 1928.
- Retirement Compound Interest CalculatorSee how compound growth builds your retirement savings, and how withdrawals draw it down, in today's dollars.
- Savings Rate CalculatorHow many years to financial independence at your savings rate, and when you reach the crossover point.
How do we keep the content accurate?
Every outside figure links to its original source, and every worked example is computed by the calculator engine rather than typed by hand. These are our editorial standards.
- Sources. We cite primary sources first: the IRS, the Social Security Administration, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the original research. All 136 sources, with what we use each for, are on the sources page.
- Updates. We recheck figures when they change at the source, such as new contribution limits, the yearly Social Security adjustment and each year's market data. Pages show the date they were last reviewed.
- Corrections. When we fix an error, we correct the page and log the change with its date: formula changes in the methodology changelog and data changes on the sources page. We do not quietly rewrite results.
- No invented facts. We do not publish testimonials, ratings or statistics we cannot source.
Who builds FIRE Calculator Pro?
FIRE Calculator Pro is written and maintained by Kashif Nazir Khan, a software engineer with a long-standing interest in early retirement and personal finance (LinkedIn). There are no ads on the site, and no company pays us to recommend its products.
How can I report an error?
Email iamkashifcs@gmail.com. Tell us the page and the figure that looks wrong, and where possible the source you are comparing it with. Confirmed fixes are logged with their date.
Is this financial advice?
No. The calculators are educational tools. They show what your assumptions imply, but they cannot know your full situation, your taxes or how markets will behave. For decisions about your own money, consider a fee-only fiduciary adviser, who is paid by you rather than by commissions and is obliged to act in your interest. Read our full terms and disclaimer.
Start with your own numbers
Not sure where to begin? The FIRE calculator gives your FIRE number, the age you could retire and your odds of success in about a minute.
Sources
Figures checked against each source on November 11, 2026.
- [1]Understanding sequence of return risk and safe withdrawal rates ยท Michael Kitces, Kitces.com, October 1, 2014.Real returns in the first decade of retirement largely determine the safe withdrawal rate (correlation about 0.79).
- [2]The Safe Withdrawal Rate Series ยท Karsten Jeske, Early Retirement Now, 2016-2025.The series models very long early retirements ("a 50 or even 60-year horizon"); withdrawal rates of 3.25-3.50% would have survived even the most catastrophic historical market conditions, and Part 3 argues about 3.25% is needed for low failure risk over 60 years when valuations are high.
- [3]Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills: 1928-2025 ยท Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern School of Business, Updated January 5, 2026.Annual S&P 500, 10-year Treasury and CPI data used by our Monte Carlo and historical backtests (S&P 500: 10.02% a year nominal, 1928-2025).
- [4]Social Security Retirement Benefits: Claiming Ages (R47151) ยท Congressional Research Service, June 8, 2022.Full retirement age is 67 for people born in 1960 or later; claiming at 62 cuts benefits 30%; delayed credits add 8% a year up to 70 (24% more at 70 when full retirement age is 67); workers with 35 or more years of covered earnings lose little of their basic benefit by stopping work early (p. 24). Pages 5-6: someone entitled to their own benefit and a spousal or survivor benefit in effect receives the higher of the two; at full retirement age a spouse can receive 50% of the worker's benefit, with no delayed retirement credits; a widow(er) claiming at full retirement age or later can receive 100% of the deceased worker's benefit. At full retirement age a spouse can receive 50% of the retired worker's benefit, reduced if claimed earlier (32.5% at 62 when FRA is 67), with no delayed retirement credits (p. 6); a widow(er) claiming at FRA or later can receive 100% of the deceased worker's benefit (p. 7); a dually entitled person receives the higher of their own and the spousal or survivor benefit (p. 6).